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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket 'overly optimistic' about rate cuts, says Miramar's Max WassermanMax Wasserman, Miramar Capital senior portfolio manager, and Bryce Doty, Sit Investment Associates senior portfolio manager, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the timeline for Fed rate cuts, how markets could react to rate uncertainty, and more.
Persons: Miramar's Max Wasserman Max Wasserman, Bryce Doty Organizations: Miramar Capital, Sit Investment
The headline CPI had increased 0.4% in September. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI increased 0.2% and 4%, against the forecast of 0.3% and 4.1%. However, Fed officials have stressed that they want to see a series of declines in core readings, which has been the case since April. Traders also took any potential Fed rate hikes almost completely off the table, according to CME Group data. The flat reading on the headline CPI came as energy prices declined 2.5% for the month, offsetting a 0.3% increase in the food index.
Persons: Dow Jones, Bryce Doty Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Traders, Group Locations: U.S
Bonds are starting to make a lot of sense for investors, Forrest said. Even after pulling back somewhat from those levels, the benchmark yield remains within striking distance of the key 5% threshold. The potential unwinding of what BofA recently called the "greatest bond bear market in history" has more investors trying to lock in higher yields ahead of potential rate cuts next year from the Federal Reserve. 'A lot for us to love bonds' Other investors are building out their bond exposure. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) is off by more than 2% in 2023, but greater than 1% on the week.
Persons: Kim Forrest, she's, Forrest, Bonds, Treasurys, Forrest isn't, Nancy Tengler, She's, , Tengler, Bryce Doty, Emily Roland, CNBC's, I've, Roland, we've, Lawrence Gillum, Bokeh Capital's Forrest, Sit Investment's Doty, LPL Financial's Gillum, Gillum, Sit's Doty, Doty Organizations: Bokeh Capital Partners, Bank of America, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Laffer, Sit Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, LPL, Bloomberg, Bond, Aggregate Bond, Bond Market, Corporations Locations: U.S, Israel
CNBC Daily Open: No news is good news
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Source: NYSEThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. There was, for the first day during the week, no significant news, whether good or bad. To markets already jolted by a downbeat August and desperate for more signs of the interest rate trajectory, good news was bad news and bad news was bad news. But this time, any good news — in other words, lower-than-expected CPI — will be straightforwardly good.
Persons: Bryce Doty, Dow Organizations: NYSE, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Sit Investment Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Markets cheered the lack of news
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Every bit of information that could move markets during the week indeed moved markets — negatively. To markets already jolted by a downbeat August and desperate for more signs of the interest rate trajectory, good news was bad news and bad news was bad news. This week looks to be different because there's no lack of heavy-hitting economic data, in the form of August's CPI report.
Persons: Michael M, Bryce Doty, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Sit Investment Locations: New York City, U.S
REUTERS/Ralph OrlowskiSummaryCompanies U.S. CPI data for June shows inflation slowdownWall Street stocks gainDollar, Treasury yields dropOil and gold gainJuly 12 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks advanced on Wednesday and the dollar and Treasury yields fell after new U.S. inflation data showed a slowdown in the seemingly relentless rise of consumer prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. Shares of big tech-related companies, which tend to be sensitive to higher interest rates, gave the S&P 500 its biggest boost. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.865%, down 11.9 basis points . Wall Street banks overall are expected to report higher profits as rising interest payments offset a downturn in deal making.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Will Dunham, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, CPI, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Wednesday, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, Wednesday ., Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York
[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.853%, down 12.9 basis points . EARNINGS AHEADOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, dealmaking, Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York
[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in the price of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.885%, down 9.7 basis points . GLOBAL STOCKS, COMMODITIESOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Shashwat Chauhan, Jan Harvey, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, Boston, London, Singapore, Bengaluru
[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 7, 2022. The dollar, a beneficiary of rising U.S. interest rates, was down slightly on Friday but on track for a 2022 gain of 8%, its biggest annual percentage increase since 2015. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose on the day and was poised to close out the trading year with its biggest annual increase in decades, pushed higher by aggressive Fed rate hikes. In stocks, battered growth stocks and Nasdaq leading declines dragged Wall Street's main indexes lower. The dollar index fell 0.173%, with the euro up 0.12% to $1.0674.
The 10-year US Treasury yield plunged 31 basis points and the US dollar Index fell more than 2%. The Nasdaq closed an eye-popping 7.35% higher, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average spiked nearly 1,200 points. Meanwhile, core monthly inflation, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3%, below estimates for a rise of 0.5%. The move in assets was immediate following the CPI release, with the 10-year US Treasury yield plunging an immediate 20 basis points, eventually falling 31 basis points. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index plunged more than 2%, it's weakest day in more than 10 years.
"Powell should also be pleased that the unemployment rate went up from 3.6% to 3.7%. Traders' bets of a 75 basis point rate hike in December briefly rose to 64.5% after the release of the data but swiftly slipped back to around 60%. Meanwhile, CBOE's volatility index VIX, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, hit its lowest level since Sept. 9. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.43-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.51-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 14 new 52-week highs and 15 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 40 new highs and 98 new lows.
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